South Korean Retail Pours $73.6B Into US Stocks — Tax Breaks Can't Reverse the Skew

South Korea ranks 3rd globally in US stock net purchases, Brent hits $106 amid Hormuz closure, copper faces 10M-ton supply gap by 2040

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Investment Implications

Korean Savings Flow One Way: Into US Stocks

South Korean investors' net purchases of US stocks in 2025 jumped fivefold year-on-year, landing them third globally. The government even waived capital gains taxes to pull the money home — yet in January and February of this year, South Korea still held its title as the world's largest buyer of US stocks. When tax breaks can't stop the flow of savings into US assets, you're looking at something beyond a market preference.

According to data released by the Bank of Korea, US assets account for 63.4% of South Korea's foreign portfolio. Compare that to the developed-market average of 25.3% and the emerging-market average of 36.8% — this isn't a slight tilt, it's well outside the normal range. Citing US Treasury data the same day, reports pegged South Korea's 2025 net purchases of US stocks at $73.6B, roughly five times the prior year. That made it the third-largest buyer globally, behind Singapore and Norway.

More telling is what the government's redirection attempt hasn't accomplished. Seoul announced that profits from selling foreign stocks would be exempt from capital gains tax if reinvested in domestic equities for one year — yet in January and February 2026, South Korea still topped the world in net US stock purchases. The two-month tally: roughly $10B. When tax breaks can't turn the flow around, you're looking at something deeper than transient preference. This is a structured capital allocation pattern.

The structural skew produces two sector effects. First, for domestic brokerages and asset managers, offshore trade execution, FX conversion, and foreign ETF distribution fees now matter more to earnings growth than individual stock trading. Those platforms were the actual conduits for the $73.6B. Second, net assets in US large-cap ETFs and funds run by major Korean asset managers haven't shrunk, despite the tax disadvantage.

Here's the line investors should read first this week: Korean brokerages' Q2 earnings are likely to print a new record for the share of overseas stock custody fees. The direct evidence? That $73.6B in net purchases — untouched by the supposed counter-incentive of tax exemption.


Key Developments

Technology

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Huawei to Invest $11.7B in Autonomous Driving Compute Over Five Years

Huawei plans to invest up to CNY 80B ($11.7B) over the next five years to expand computing power for autonomous driving training and testing, with CNY 18B earmarked for autonomous driving R&D in 2026 alone. (Source: South China Morning Post)

China's Power Sector to Pour Over CNY 10B Into AI Robots in 2026

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Three Chinese Optical Module Makers Rally 5-10x in a Year, Overtaking Kweichow Moutai by Market Cap

Shares of Shenzhen-listed Zhongji Innolight — the world's largest optical module maker — have risen tenfold over the past year, while Eoptolink Technology and Suzhou TFC Optical Communication have each more than quintupled. The combined market capitalization of all three now exceeds that of Kweichow Moutai. (Source: South China Morning Post)

Cohere Acquires Germany's Aleph Alpha; Schwarz Group Invests $600M

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France Builds Europe's First Large-Scale Rare Earth Recycling Plant — Equal to 15% of Global Annual Output

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OpenAI Releases GPT-5.5; Cybersecurity Risk Rated 'High'

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Economy

Brent Crude Hits $106.80 per Barrel — Back Above $100 in Two Weeks

Brent crude rose to $106.80 per barrel, crossing $100 for the first time in two weeks. The backdrop: the US is deliberately keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed until a deal with Iran is reached. (Source: Al Jazeera)

Jet Fuel Prices Double in Two Months — Airlines Cut Routes

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Lithium Supply Crunch Begins in 2026 — After Prices Crashed 80% in a Year

After a 12-month slide through mid-2025 that saw lithium prices drop 80%, Canaccord warned that a lithium supply deficit could begin in 2026 and persist through 2035. Australian miners have halted output at several projects, and China's CATL has suspended lithium production at one of its largest mines. (Source: OilPrice)

Copper Faces 10-Million-Ton Deficit by 2040 as Demand Surges 50%

S&P Global projects global copper demand to reach 42 million metric tons by 2040 — a 50% increase from today — while global production is expected to peak at 33 million tons in 2030 before declining to 22 million tons by 2040. Without new mines, the 2040 supply gap is projected at 10 million tons. (Source: Macon)

Hong Kong Life Insurance Premiums Hit Record $42.2B; Single Family Offices Top 3,380

Hong Kong's new life insurance premiums reached HKD 330.9B ($42.2B) in 2025, up 50.6% year-on-year and setting an all-time high. The number of single family offices (SFOs) operating in Hong Kong also exceeded 3,380 as of year-end 2025. (Source: South China Morning Post)

Nissan's China Sales Drop 47% From 2019 — Foreign Brands Bet on Tech

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Hyundai Rotem Q1 Net Income KRW 202.7B; Defense Order Backlog at KRW 29.9T

Hyundai Rotem's Q1 2026 net income rose 29% year-on-year to KRW 202.7B. Operating profit came in at KRW 224.2B (+10.5%) on revenue of KRW 1.45T (+23.9%), with the defense segment posting operating profit of KRW 218.8B (+22.2%). The order backlog stood at KRW 29.9T as of end-March. (Source: Yonhap News)

Gold at $4,861 per Ounce — Indian Brides Turn to 1-Gram Alternatives

Gold prices hit an all-time high of $5,595 per ounce on January 29, 2026, and currently trade around $4,861. In South Asia's wedding market, demand for 1-gram alternatives is growing in place of traditional gold jewelry. (Source: Al Jazeera)

Environment

Global Wind Installations Hit Record 165 GW — China Alone Accounts for 73%

Global wind power installations rose 40% year-on-year to 165 GW in 2025 — an all-time high. China installed 120.5 GW, accounting for 73% of the total, with cumulative wind capacity reaching 640.5 GW (out of a global cumulative 1,299 GW). GWEC projects 969 GW of new global wind installations between 2026 and 2030, or an average of 194 GW per year. (Source: Eco-Business)

Fortescue to Spend AUD 952M on Industrial Green Grid — Fossil-Free Pilbara by 2030

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ISDS Suits Targeting Environmental Protections Hit 126 Cases in 2011-2021

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Politics

Japan's 2026 Defense Budget Hits Record $58B — Long-Range Missiles Deployed in Kumamoto

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US Burns Through Half of Tomahawks and Other Key Munitions — Rebuilding Takes 1-4 Years

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US Supreme Court Rules Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs Illegal — Administration Pivots to Flat 10% Rate

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Korea-India Summit Targets $50B in Bilateral Trade by 2030

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US Navy to Deploy 30+ USVs and Thousands of Drone Boats in Indo-Pacific by 2030

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Social

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Early-onset colorectal cancer — diagnosed in people under 50 — is increasing worldwide at 1.4% per year, with roughly one-fifth of all colorectal cancer diagnoses now occurring in people under 55. Colorectal cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death in both men and women under 50. (Source: Medical News Today)

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In 2024, roughly 14.3 million infants under age 1 received no routine vaccinations globally. Measles cases rose across every region, reaching approximately 11 million in 2024, and the number of countries experiencing large outbreaks has nearly tripled since 2021. (Source: WHO)

Japan's Foreign Residents Hit Record 4.12 Million, Up 9.5% Year-on-Year

Japan's foreign resident population reached a record high of over 4.12 million at the end of 2025 — a 9.5% increase from 2024, and the first time the figure has exceeded 4 million. (Source: Nikkei Asia)

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